QuantCube

macro nowcast indicators

All datasets are available via QuantCube MIP, API, FTP

Growth Nowcast


GDP Nowcast

Nowcasting of current real GDP year-to-year growth. Available in local currency. Data source: tracking and aggregating each component of the GDP namely Consumption, Employment, PMI and International Trade.

Coverage: US, China, UK, Eurozone, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Japan, Canada

Leading Economic Growth

Track early economic growth trends and reversals at the country level. It is used to detect short/medium trends as well as turning points between two consecutive official releases for financial applications. Data source: tracking and aggregating in real-time various components namely Consumption, Employment, PMI and International Trade.

Coverage: US, China, UK, Eurozone, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Japan, Canada

 

Manufacturing Nowcast


QuantCube Manufacturing Nowcast (QMN)

The QMN monitors the pulse of the manufacturing sector in real-time. Based on text analytics and our proprietary NLP technology, the indicator is updated on a daily basis and is highly correlated to most monthly business surveys. Available approximately 3 weeks in advance of official numbers.

Coverage: US, China, France, Germany, Italy, Eurozone, UK, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Japan, Switzerland

Air Pollution

Tracking human activity by comparing average emissions of multiple major pollutants over different regions. Data source: daily data by Tropomi, a spectrometer instrument with a resolution of 7 km x 3.5 km from satellite Sentinel 5P (ESA).

Coverage: China, France (available for worldwide data on demand)

Industrial Production

Tracking official industrial production in real-time by aggregating real-time estimates of manufacturing, mining, and electric & gas utilities outputs.

Available approximately 2 weeks in advance of official numbers

Coverage: US

Commodity Nowcast


International Trade

Track the evolution of official external trade numbers in real-time. Data source: high frequency shipping data from ports located around the world. Estimate the levels of combined imports and exports approximately one month in advance.

Coverage: most G20 countries

Commodity Trade

Track imports/exports in value and volume of a commodity. Data source: shipping data from top exporters/importers’ ports. Indicator based on price or volume.

Coverage: Crude Oil, Iron Ore, Coal, Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)

Ports Congestion

Track maritime traffic in the vicinity of the world’s major ports by measuring the number of vessels and their average waiting time in anchorage zones.

Offer a timely assessment of the state of global supply chains.

Coverage: Los Angeles & Long Beach, Rotterdam, Shanghai, New York, Dubai, Piraeus, Busan, Nagoya, Hong-Kong Shenzhen, Qingdao, Ningbo, Santos, Singapore

 

Water Stress

Track the surface of multiple water sources with proprietary algorithm

Monitor water surface fluctuations to pinpoint drought occurrence.

Coverage : US, India, Brazil, China, Indonesia, Russia, Taiwan (available worldwide on demand)

 

Inflation Nowcast


Headline CPI Inflation

A real-time indicator monitoring the current Consumer Price Index at the country level

Data source: multiple subcomponents including transport, food & beverages, housing and energy prices.

Available approximately 2 weeks in advance of official numbers

Coverage: US, France, Germany, China, Brazil

Core CPI Inflation

A real-time indicator monitoring the current Core Consumer Price Index at the country level by crossing and aggregating multiple subcomponents

Data source: multiple subcomponents excluding costs from the food & energy sectors.

Available approximately 2 weeks in advance of official numbers

Coverage: US

Employment Nowcast


National & Sectoral Employment Indicator

Track evolution of official and live job openings at the country & sector level.

Data source: online job offers and information relative to each job.

Coverage: US, China, France

 

Consumption Nowcast


National & Sectoral Consumption Indicator

Monitor private consumers’ expenses in real- time at country & sector level

Available approximately 3 months ahead of official numbers

Coverage: US, China, UK, Eurozone, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Japan, Canada

Chinese Outbound Tourism

A real-time indicator tracking the evolution of official Chinese tourist arrivals for several destinations worldwide. Data source: searches and comments on Chinese social media channels and search engines, air traffic data, hotel reviews by Chinese travelers. Available approximately 1 – 4 months ahead of official numbers.

Coverage: Thailand, Japan, South Korea, United States of America, Taiwan, Singapore, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Philippines